Rosternomics

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Tim Wilken

Cubs, Rays, Blue Jays

1996–1997, 2000, 2005–2012 · 11 drafts · 563 picks

Early-Round Selection
-16.6
#145 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-1.8
#54 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+78.3
#18 of 172
+7.12/draft
Hitter DVOS
+156.2
#8 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
314
#11 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF22196 +155.9
P4781 +40.3
OF1138 +2.3
C3-1 -2.0

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
200748Josh Donaldson3B 46.42.3 +44.0
200979DJ LeMahieu2B 27.21.9 +25.3
1997149Michael YoungSS 25.30.8 +24.4
19975Vernon WellsOF 25.08.9 +16.0
20119Javier BáezSS 25.07.8 +17.2
1996189Casey Blake3B 22.20.8 +21.4
19971280Orlando Hudson2B 21.00.1 +21.0
2006149Jeff SamardzijaP 19.50.8 +18.7
2008191Josh Harrison2B 14.20.8 +13.5
1997599Mark HendricksonP 11.80.2 +11.5
200819Andrew CashnerP 11.45.9 +5.5
2005118Jeremy HellicksonP 11.11.0 +10.1
2007157Brandon GuyerOF 5.90.8 +5.0
2007127Darwin Barney2B 5.31.0 +4.3
2009770Justin Bour1B 4.20.1 +4.1

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
19965528.8 34.8-6.0
19976683.0 20.1+63.0
2000524.6 23.0-18.4
20055011.1 21.1-10.0
20064723.3 15.9+7.4
20075056.3 23.2+33.2
20085126.8 19.3+7.5
20095038.7 13.9+24.8
2010500.5 17.3-16.8
20115026.9 19.5+7.4
20124213.6 27.3-13.7
Total563 314 +78.3

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.