Rosternomics

โ† all scouting directors

Tim Wilken

Cubs, Rays, Blue Jays

1996โ€“1997, 2000, 2005โ€“2012 ยท 11 drafts ยท 563 picks

Early-Round Selection
-17.8
#149 of 172
rds 1โ€“10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-2.1
#57 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+76.2
#18 of 172
+6.92/draft
Hitter DVOS
+155.2
#8 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
315
#10 of 172

Value by position โ€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF22196 +155.4
P4782 +40.8
OF1138 +1.9
C3-1 -2.1

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking โ€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half โ‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (โ‰ˆ 0) โ€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks โ€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
200748Josh Donaldson3B 46.42.4 +44.0
200979DJ LeMahieu2B 27.21.9 +25.3
1997149Michael YoungSS 25.30.8 +24.4
20119Javier BรกezSS 25.17.9 +17.2
19975Vernon WellsOF 25.09.0 +16.0
1996189Casey Blake3B 22.20.8 +21.4
19971280Orlando Hudson2B 21.00.1 +21.0
2006149Jeff SamardzijaP 19.50.8 +18.7
2008191Josh Harrison2B 14.20.8 +13.4
1997599Mark HendricksonP 11.80.2 +11.5
200819Andrew CashnerP 11.46.0 +5.3
2005118Jeremy HellicksonP 11.11.0 +10.1
2007157Brandon GuyerOF 5.90.8 +5.0
2007127Darwin Barney2B 5.31.0 +4.3
201256Paul BlackburnP 4.51.8 +2.6

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
19965528.8 35.3-6.5
19976683.0 20.3+62.8
2000524.6 23.4-18.8
20055011.1 21.4-10.3
20064723.3 16.2+7.1
20075056.3 23.5+32.8
20085126.8 19.6+7.2
20095039.3 14.1+25.2
2010500.5 17.6-17.1
20115027.0 19.7+7.3
20124214.1 27.7-13.5
Total563 315โ€“ +76.2

DVOS = ฮฃ (a pick's career fWAR โˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in โ€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated โ€” one star swamps a class โ€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.