RRosternomics

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Terry Reynolds

Reds, Dodgers

1991–1998, 2004–2005 · 10 drafts · 665 picks

Early-Round Selection
-24.6
#165 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-10.1
#121 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-51.9
#147 of 172
-5.19/draft
Hitter DVOS
+45.5
#56 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
154
#49 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
C637 +34.0
P3968 +28.9
IF1329 +8.9
OF819 +2.6

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
1996688Ted LillyP 24.80.1 +24.7
199413Paul Konerko1B 24.07.9 +16.1
1998216David RossC 21.90.8 +21.1
200512Jay BruceOF 20.67.9 +12.7
20047Homer BaileyP 17.09.2 +7.8
1993690Paul Lo DucaC 16.10.1 +16.0
19932Darren DreifortP 14.014.2 -0.1
200560Travis WoodP 10.81.8 +9.0
199180Todd HollandsworthOF 5.21.9 +3.3
199688Alex Cora2B 4.11.0 +3.0
20051259John AxfordP 3.20.1 +3.2
1995863Pedro FelicianoP 3.20.1 +3.1
2005122Sam LeCureP 2.11.0 +1.1
2005362Adam Rosales2B 1.80.3 +1.5
200478Craig TatumC 0.61.9 -1.3

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
1991933.0 15.3-12.3
1992530.2 22.2-22.0
19935730.0 26.7+3.4
19947720.9 23.6-2.7
1995853.1 22.0-18.9
19967924.0 18.7+5.3
199771-0.7 18.3-19.0
19985019.0 16.7+2.3
20045017.4 22.7-5.4
20055036.9 19.5+17.4
Total665 154 -51.9

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.