Rosternomics

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Steve Sanders

Blue Jays

2017–2019 · 3 drafts · 121 picks

Early-Round Selection
-14.1
#136 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-2.7
#70 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-44.5
#137 of 172
-14.82/draft
Hitter DVOS
-8.0
#148 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
12
#143 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF89 -1.9
C1-1 -2.4
OF3-0 -3.6
P95 -9.4

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
201911Alek ManoahP 5.47.8 -2.4
2019717Spencer Horwitz1B 5.00.1 +4.9
2017849Davis Schneider2B 3.20.1 +3.2
2018176Addison Barger3B 1.80.8 +1.0
2017459Ryan Noda1B 1.00.2 +0.8
201852Griffin ConineOF 0.71.8 -1.1
2019537Brandon EisertP 0.20.2 -0.1
201888Adam KloffensteinP 0.01.0 -1.0
2018356Nick AllgeyerP 0.00.3 -0.3
201761Hagen DannerP 0.01.8 -1.8

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2017411.2 18.1-16.9
2018401.2 19.2-18.0
2019409.6 19.2-9.6
Total121 12 -44.5

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.