Rosternomics

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Sean Johnson

Twins

2017–present Β· 8 drafts Β· 209 picks

Early-Round Selection
-14.8
#140 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+3.0
#42 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-81.8
#167 of 172
-10.23/draft
Hitter DVOS
-20.6
#165 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
82
#81 of 172

Value by position β€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P2635 +18.0
C211 +8.9
OF84 -10.5
IF932 -19.0

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking β€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half β‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (β‰ˆ 0) β€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks β€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
201859Ryan JeffersC 10.81.8 +8.9
2017346Bailey OberP 10.00.3 +9.7
201735Brent RookerDH 8.42.9 +5.5
2017466Cade SmithP 7.10.2 +6.9
20171Royce Lewis3B 5.923.7 -17.8
201990Spencer Steer1B 5.71.1 +4.6
201820Trevor LarnachDH 4.86.0 -1.2
201939Matt WallnerOF 4.32.9 +1.4
2019449Louis VarlandP 4.00.2 +3.7
202349Luke Keaschall2B 3.42.4 +1.1
20228Brooks Lee3B 2.39.3 -7.0
2017286Calvin FaucherP 2.10.5 +1.6
202198Cade PovichP 2.01.1 +1.0
2022234Zebby MatthewsP 1.90.5 +1.4
2019269Brent HeadrickP 1.80.5 +1.3

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20174133.1 40.0-7.0
20183918.1 16.1+2.0
20194117.5 22.4-4.9
20204-0.1 5.9-6.0
2021212.4 15.1-12.7
2022206.5 21.1-14.6
2023213.5 22.8-19.3
2024220.6 19.8-19.2
Total209 82– -81.8

DVOS = Ξ£ (a pick's career fWAR βˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in β€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated β€” one star swamps a class β€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.