Rosternomics

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Sean Johnson

Twins

2017–present · 8 drafts · 209 picks

Early-Round Selection
-20.7
#162 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+2.1
#44 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-91.9
#168 of 172
-11.48/draft
Hitter DVOS
-12.4
#157 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
69
#87 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P2429 +13.6
C210 +8.2
OF64 -0.8
IF826 -19.8

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
201859Ryan JeffersC 10.11.8 +8.3
2017346Bailey OberP 9.50.3 +9.2
201735Brent RookerDH 8.72.8 +5.9
2017466Cade SmithP 6.90.2 +6.6
201990Spencer Steer1B 5.61.0 +4.6
20171Royce Lewis3B 4.623.4 -18.8
201939Matt WallnerOF 4.22.8 +1.4
201820Trevor LarnachDH 3.85.9 -2.1
2019449Louis VarlandP 2.80.2 +2.5
2018154Cole SandsP 2.10.8 +1.2
202349Luke Keaschall2B 2.02.3 -0.3
202198Cade PovichP 1.81.0 +0.8
2021399David FestaP 1.40.3 +1.1
2022234Zebby MatthewsP 1.40.5 +0.9
2017286Calvin FaucherP 1.30.5 +0.9

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20174130.8 39.5-8.7
20183916.3 15.9+0.5
20194114.7 22.0-7.3
202040.0 5.8-5.8
2021211.9 14.9-13.0
2022203.3 20.8-17.5
2023212.0 22.5-20.5
2024220.0 19.5-19.5
Total209 69 -91.9

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.