Rosternomics

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Sean Johnson

Twins

2017–present Β· 8 drafts Β· 209 picks

Early-Round Selection
-11.7
#129 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+4.3
#38 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-77.8
#165 of 172
-9.73/draft
Hitter DVOS
-21.7
#168 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
86
#80 of 172

Value by position β€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P2637 +20.3
C211 +9.0
OF84 -10.5
IF1135 -20.2

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking β€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half β‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (β‰ˆ 0) β€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks β€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
201859Ryan JeffersC 10.91.8 +9.1
2017346Bailey OberP 10.10.3 +9.8
201735Brent RookerDH 8.32.9 +5.5
2017466Cade SmithP 8.00.2 +7.7
201990Spencer Steer1B 5.71.1 +4.6
20171Royce Lewis3B 5.423.7 -18.3
201820Trevor LarnachDH 5.06.0 -1.1
202349Luke Keaschall2B 4.62.4 +2.2
2019449Louis VarlandP 4.30.2 +4.1
201939Matt WallnerOF 4.22.9 +1.4
20228Brooks Lee3B 2.89.3 -6.5
2017286Calvin FaucherP 2.20.5 +1.8
202198Cade PovichP 2.11.1 +1.0
202248Connor PrielippP 2.02.4 -0.4
2019269Brent HeadrickP 1.90.5 +1.4

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20174133.7 40.1-6.4
20183918.7 16.2+2.5
20194117.4 22.5-5.1
20204-0.2 6.0-6.2
2021213.4 15.2-11.9
2022207.7 21.2-13.5
2023214.8 22.9-18.1
2024220.8 19.9-19.1
Total209 86– -77.8

DVOS = Ξ£ (a pick's career fWAR βˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in β€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated β€” one star swamps a class β€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.