Rosternomics

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Scott Reid

Cubs

1986–1987 · 2 drafts · 76 picks

Early-Round Selection
-8.3
#112 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+3.9
#38 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-15.2
#92 of 172
-7.60/draft
Hitter DVOS
+8.8
#97 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
30
#123 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
C316 +14.3
IF32 -0.3
P59 -4.2
OF23 -5.2

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
1986582Rick WilkinsC 14.20.2 +13.9
1986116Joe GirardiC 5.61.0 +4.6
19874Mike HarkeyP 5.110.3 -5.3
1986220Jim BullingerP 4.00.8 +3.2
19869Derrick MayOF 3.17.8 -4.7
198762Alex Arias3B 1.41.8 -0.3
1987166Matt Franco1B 0.90.8 +0.1
1987960Tom ThobeP 0.00.1 -0.0

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
19863326.6 22.5+4.1
1987433.6 22.9-19.3
Total76 30 -15.2

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.