RRosternomics

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Scott Barnsby

Guardians

2018–2021 · 4 drafts · 109 picks

Early-Round Selection
+21.5
#20 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-3.0
#74 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-14.9
#91 of 172
-3.73/draft
Hitter DVOS
+17.5
#91 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
48
#105 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
OF316 +13.9
P1724 +4.4
C24 +1.8
IF44 +1.8

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2018163Steven KwanOF 16.00.8 +15.2
2021156Tanner BibeeP 8.80.8 +8.0
202123Gavin WilliamsP 5.75.0 +0.8
201829Bo NaylorC 4.42.2 +2.1
202056Logan AllenP 2.81.8 +1.0
2019160Hunter GaddisP 2.50.8 +1.6
20181003Daniel Schneemann2B 2.20.1 +2.2
2019580Kevin KellyP 2.00.2 +1.8
2019550Matt WaldronP 1.80.2 +1.5
2018103Richie Palacios2B 1.61.0 +0.6
2018883Tim HerrinP 0.30.1 +0.3
2019220Xzavion CurryP 0.30.8 -0.5
2019250Will BrennanOF 0.30.5 -0.2
2019610Nic EnrightP 0.20.1 +0.2
2021306Franco AlemanP 0.10.3 -0.2

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20184223.9 18.0+5.9
2019407.1 16.0-8.9
202062.8 12.5-9.7
20212114.7 16.8-2.1
Total109 48 -14.9

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.