Rosternomics

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Ron Hopkins

Rangers

2003–2009 · 7 drafts · 349 picks

Early-Round Selection
-17.9
#150 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+63.4
#3 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+10.7
#55 of 172
+1.53/draft
Hitter DVOS
+58.8
#46 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
157
#46 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF1170 +59.5
P4074 +24.4
OF712 +0.7
C31 -1.5

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2003496Ian Kinsler2B 47.30.2 +47.1
20039John DanksP 17.47.8 +9.5
2008753Tanner RoarkP 14.20.1 +14.2
2006748Derek HollandP 13.00.1 +13.0
2003886Scott FeldmanP 12.10.1 +12.0
2006148Chris Davis1B 10.90.8 +10.1
2006298Craig GentryOF 8.20.5 +7.7
2007530Mitch Moreland1B 7.20.2 +7.0
200754Tommy HunterP 7.21.8 +5.4
200811Justin Smoak1B 5.97.8 -1.9
2008183Richard BleierP 3.70.8 +2.9
200993Robbie ErlinP 3.41.0 +2.4
200857Robbie Ross Jr.P 2.71.8 +0.9
200519John Mayberry Jr.OF 2.35.9 -3.6
200599Taylor TeagardenC 1.51.0 +0.5

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20034476.5 20.9+55.7
200451-1.0 22.0-23.0
2005502.9 17.6-14.7
20064932.4 18.0+14.5
20075416.7 28.9-12.2
20085026.3 19.4+6.9
2009513.1 19.6-16.5
Total349 157 +10.7

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.