Rosternomics

โ† all scouting directors

Ron Hopkins

Rangers

2003โ€“2009 ยท 7 drafts ยท 349 picks

Early-Round Selection
-18.7
#153 of 172
rds 1โ€“10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+63.2
#3 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+8.4
#56 of 172
+1.21/draft
Hitter DVOS
+58.3
#46 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
157
#47 of 172

Value by position โ€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF1170 +59.3
P4074 +23.7
OF712 +0.5
C31 -1.5

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking โ€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half โ‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (โ‰ˆ 0) โ€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks โ€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2003496Ian Kinsler2B 47.30.2 +47.0
20039John DanksP 17.47.9 +9.5
2008753Tanner RoarkP 14.20.1 +14.2
2006748Derek HollandP 13.00.1 +13.0
2003886Scott FeldmanP 12.10.1 +12.0
2006148Chris Davis1B 10.90.8 +10.1
2006298Craig GentryOF 8.20.5 +7.7
2007530Mitch Moreland1B 7.20.2 +7.0
200754Tommy HunterP 7.21.8 +5.4
200811Justin Smoak1B 5.98.0 -2.1
2008183Richard BleierP 3.70.8 +2.9
200993Robbie ErlinP 3.41.1 +2.3
200857Robbie Ross Jr.P 2.71.8 +0.9
200519John Mayberry Jr.OF 2.36.0 -3.7
200599Taylor TeagardenC 1.51.1 +0.4

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20034476.5 21.1+55.4
200451-1.0 22.2-23.3
2005502.9 17.9-15.0
20064932.4 18.3+14.1
20075416.7 29.3-12.6
20085026.3 19.7+6.6
2009513.1 20.0-16.8
Total349 157โ€“ +8.4

DVOS = ฮฃ (a pick's career fWAR โˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in โ€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated โ€” one star swamps a class โ€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.