Rosternomics

โ† all scouting directors

Rob Metzler

Rays

2016โ€“2022 ยท 7 drafts ยท 216 picks

Early-Round Selection
-14.5
#138 of 172
rds 1โ€“10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-8.4
#109 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-74.6
#164 of 172
-10.65/draft
Hitter DVOS
-5.0
#136 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
64
#94 of 172

Value by position โ€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF1013 +1.8
C10 -0.1
P3439 -0.3
OF511 -6.6

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking โ€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half โ‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (โ‰ˆ 0) โ€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks โ€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2018210Joe RyanP 13.80.8 +13.0
2016390Nathaniel Lowe1B 11.20.3 +10.9
201831Shane McClanahanP 10.52.9 +7.6
2018150Taj BradleyP 6.20.8 +5.4
201613Josh LoweOF 4.98.0 -3.1
201677Jake FraleyOF 4.01.9 +2.1
201816Matthew LiberatoreP 3.95.8 -1.9
202270Chandler SimpsonOF 2.91.9 +1.0
202057Ian SeymourP 2.41.8 +0.6
2021191Mason MontgomeryP 2.30.8 +1.5
2019368Nick Sogard2B 1.50.3 +1.2
201779Taylor WallsSS 1.41.9 -0.6
202163Kyle Manzardo1B 1.01.8 -0.8
20174Brendan McKayP 0.810.4 -9.7
2022344Drew SommersP 0.60.3 +0.3

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20164119.4 21.5-2.0
2017411.9 26.8-24.9
20184334.4 25.0+9.4
2019420.4 21.9-21.5
202062.1 12.6-10.6
2021212.3 14.8-12.4
2022223.1 15.5-12.4
Total216 64โ€“ -74.6

DVOS = ฮฃ (a pick's career fWAR โˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in โ€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated โ€” one star swamps a class โ€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.