Rosternomics

โ† all scouting directors

Rob Metzler

Rays

2016โ€“2022 ยท 7 drafts ยท 216 picks

Early-Round Selection
-14.1
#138 of 172
rds 1โ€“10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-8.6
#111 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-72.8
#163 of 172
-10.40/draft
Hitter DVOS
-3.8
#131 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
66
#90 of 172

Value by position โ€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF1014 +2.6
P3440 +0.6
C10 -0.1
OF512 -6.3

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking โ€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half โ‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (โ‰ˆ 0) โ€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks โ€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2018210Joe RyanP 13.70.8 +12.9
2016390Nathaniel Lowe1B 11.10.3 +10.8
201831Shane McClanahanP 10.42.9 +7.6
2018150Taj BradleyP 6.90.8 +6.0
201613Josh LoweOF 5.28.0 -2.8
201816Matthew LiberatoreP 4.15.8 -1.7
201677Jake FraleyOF 3.91.9 +1.9
202270Chandler SimpsonOF 3.11.9 +1.1
2021191Mason MontgomeryP 2.70.8 +1.9
202057Ian SeymourP 2.61.8 +0.8
201779Taylor WallsSS 1.61.9 -0.3
2019368Nick Sogard1B 1.40.3 +1.1
202163Kyle Manzardo1B 1.01.8 -0.9
20174Brendan McKayP 0.810.5 -9.7
2022344Drew SommersP 0.70.3 +0.4

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20164119.6 21.6-2.0
2017411.9 26.9-24.9
20184335.0 25.1+9.9
2019420.5 22.0-21.5
202063.0 12.7-9.7
2021212.8 14.8-12.1
2022223.1 15.6-12.5
Total216 66โ€“ -72.8

DVOS = ฮฃ (a pick's career fWAR โˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in โ€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated โ€” one star swamps a class โ€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.