Rosternomics

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Rob Metzler

Rays

2016–2022 · 7 drafts · 216 picks

Early-Round Selection
-15.9
#144 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-9.3
#113 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-81.5
#167 of 172
-11.64/draft
Hitter DVOS
-7.5
#147 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
54
#101 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF1012 +0.8
P3133 -5.1
OF59 -8.3

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2018210Joe RyanP 13.20.8 +12.4
2016390Nathaniel Lowe1B 11.20.3 +10.9
201831Shane McClanahanP 9.32.8 +6.5
2018150Taj BradleyP 5.10.8 +4.3
201613Josh LoweOF 4.17.8 -3.7
201677Jake FraleyOF 3.91.9 +2.0
201816Matthew LiberatoreP 3.05.7 -2.7
202270Chandler SimpsonOF 1.61.9 -0.3
202057Ian SeymourP 1.41.8 -0.4
201779Taylor WallsSS 1.31.9 -0.6
202163Kyle Manzardo1B 1.11.8 -0.7
20174Brendan McKayP 0.810.3 -9.5
2021191Mason MontgomeryP 0.70.8 -0.0
2017229Riley O'BrienP 0.50.5 +0.0
2016120Easton McGeeP 0.31.0 -0.7

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20164119.0 21.0-2.0
2017411.9 26.4-24.6
20184330.5 24.6+6.0
201942-0.1 21.5-21.7
202060.7 12.4-11.7
2021210.8 14.5-13.7
2022221.4 15.2-13.8
Total216 54 -81.5

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.