RRosternomics

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Ray Montgomery

Diamondbacks, Brewers

2012–2016 · 5 drafts · 204 picks

Early-Round Selection
+6.2
#47 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-20.5
#152 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-50.0
#144 of 172
-10.00/draft
Hitter DVOS
-13.6
#160 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
45
#107 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P1932 +6.3
C20 -2.6
IF91 -5.0
OF713 -6.1

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2016111Corbin BurnesP 22.41.0 +21.4
201515Trent GrishamOF 13.95.8 +8.1
2013240Brad KellerP 9.00.5 +8.5
2012213Jake Lamb3B 8.00.8 +7.2
201646Lucas ErcegP 3.12.4 +0.7
2013300James SherfyP 0.20.5 -0.3
2013420Steve HathawayP 0.20.2 -0.1
201675Mario FelicianoC 0.11.9 -1.8
2016171Payton HenryC 0.00.8 -0.8
201469Marcus WilsonOF 0.01.9 -1.9

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2012407.2 11.6-4.4
2013415.4 20.1-14.7
201442-4.2 21.0-25.2
20154013.2 19.5-6.3
20164123.5 22.9+0.6
Total204 45 -50.0

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.