Rosternomics

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Randy Smith

Padres

1989–1991 · 3 drafts · 153 picks

Early-Round Selection
-5.2
#86 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-6.9
#94 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-24.8
#108 of 172
-8.27/draft
Hitter DVOS
-5.3
#138 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
34
#120 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P1734 +14.3
IF42 -1.2
C2-1 -1.8
OF3-1 -2.3

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
19918Joey HamiltonP 16.39.2 +7.1
199032Scott SandersP 8.12.8 +5.3
1989518Tim WorrellP 8.10.2 +7.9
1991185Homer Bush2B 1.80.8 +1.0
1990664Lance PainterP 1.50.1 +1.4
1991991Rich LoiselleP 0.60.1 +0.6
1990456Matt MieskeOF 0.20.2 +0.0
1989128Dave Staton1B 0.21.0 -0.8

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
1989426.6 14.3-7.7
1990539.0 18.7-9.7
19915818.0 25.4-7.4
Total153 34 -24.8

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.