RRosternomics

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Randy Flores

Cardinals

2016–2018, 2024–present · 4 drafts · 140 picks

Early-Round Selection
+30.1
#13 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-9.8
#116 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-0.1
#67 of 172
-0.01/draft
Hitter DVOS
+19.3
#89 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
69
#88 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P824 +19.4
IF834 +13.6
OF312 +7.8
C1-2 -2.2

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2016196Tommy Edman2B 18.00.8 +17.2
2016106Zac GallenP 17.61.0 +16.6
2018213Brendan Donovan2B 10.70.8 +9.9
2018243Lars NootbaarOF 9.70.5 +9.2
20247JJ Wetherholt2B 3.79.2 -5.5
201634Dakota HudsonP 2.82.8 -0.0
2018513Kyle LeahyP 2.70.2 +2.4
201633Dylan CarlsonOF 2.72.8 -0.2
201819Nolan Gorman2B 2.36.0 -3.7
2018483Evan SiskP 0.90.2 +0.7
2017814Kodi WhitleyP 0.20.1 +0.1
2016586Daniel CastanoP 0.20.2 -0.1
2017484Jake WalshP 0.00.2 -0.2

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20164239.3 21.3+18.1
201738-0.2 9.3-9.5
20184125.7 19.5+6.2
2024193.7 18.6-14.9
Total140 69 -0.1

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.