RRosternomics

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R J Harrison

Rays

2006–2015 · 10 drafts · 474 picks

Early-Round Selection
+28.9
#14 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-4.5
#80 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+28.7
#43 of 172
+2.87/draft
Hitter DVOS
+78.9
#31 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
269
#15 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P45126 +76.9
IF1396 +48.8
OF1042 +32.9
C74 -2.8

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20063Evan Longoria3B 55.211.1 +44.1
20071David PriceP 42.523.5 +19.0
2010941Kevin KiermaierOF 26.60.1 +26.5
201152Blake SnellP 26.51.8 +24.7
2006109Alex CobbP 19.51.0 +18.5
201587Brandon Lowe2B 19.51.0 +18.4
2015208Jake Cronenworth1B 14.70.8 +13.9
2010251Merrill KellyP 13.50.5 +13.0
2006289Desmond JenningsOF 12.00.5 +11.6
2007245Matt MooreP 8.80.5 +8.3
2012422Dylan FloroP 6.40.2 +6.2
201079Derek Dietrich2B 6.11.9 +4.2
2007365Stephen VogtC 3.60.3 +3.3
2010191Jesse HahnP 3.30.8 +2.5
20081Tim BeckhamSS 2.923.5 -20.6

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20065086.8 24.6+62.2
20075055.0 35.2+19.8
2008503.7 37.0-33.3
2009500.2 13.4-13.2
20105349.2 24.3+25.0
20115925.1 34.8-9.7
20124011.6 14.3-2.7
2013412.5 18.3-15.8
2014410.2 18.9-18.8
20154034.5 19.3+15.2
Total474 269 +28.7

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.