Rosternomics

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Paul Toboni

Red Sox

2020–2022 Β· 3 drafts Β· 45 picks

Early-Round Selection
-5.4
#89 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-5.4
#87 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-36.4
#127 of 172
-12.15/draft
Hitter DVOS
-11.9
#158 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
13
#143 of 172

Value by position β€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P74 -0.4
IF69 -11.9

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking β€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half β‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (β‰ˆ 0) β€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks β€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2022129Chase Meidroth2B 5.91.0 +4.8
202279Roman AnthonyDH 3.51.9 +1.6
2020148Shane DrohanP 2.00.8 +1.1
2021226Hunter DobbinsP 1.40.5 +0.9
2021496Luis GuerreroP 0.30.2 +0.1
2022189Alex HoppeP 0.30.8 -0.5
20214Marcelo Mayer2B 0.310.5 -10.2
202089Blaze Jordan3B 0.11.1 -0.9
2021105Elmer RodrΓ­guezP 0.11.0 -1.0
2021196Wyatt OldsP 0.10.8 -0.7

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
202041.9 9.0-7.1
2021201.4 22.8-21.4
2022219.7 17.6-7.9
Total45 13– -36.4

DVOS = Ξ£ (a pick's career fWAR βˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in β€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated β€” one star swamps a class β€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.