Rosternomics

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Paul Toboni

Red Sox

2020–2022 · 3 drafts · 45 picks

Early-Round Selection
-10.4
#123 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-5.4
#87 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-41.4
#134 of 172
-13.81/draft
Hitter DVOS
-14.3
#163 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
7
#148 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P62 -1.6
IF55 -14.3

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
202279Roman AnthonyDH 3.01.9 +1.1
2022129Chase Meidroth2B 2.51.0 +1.5
2021226Hunter DobbinsP 1.00.5 +0.5
2020148Shane DrohanP 0.60.8 -0.2
20214Marcelo Mayer2B 0.310.3 -10.0
2021496Luis GuerreroP 0.30.2 +0.1
2022189Alex HoppeP 0.10.8 -0.6
2021105Elmer RodríguezP 0.01.0 -1.0

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
202040.4 8.8-8.4
2021201.0 22.5-21.5
2022215.7 17.2-11.5
Total45 7 -41.4

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.