Rosternomics

โ† all scouting directors

Paul Ricciarini

Astros

2005โ€“2007 ยท 3 drafts ยท 140 picks

Early-Round Selection
-3.3
#77 of 172
rds 1โ€“10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-11.8
#127 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-29.0
#113 of 172
-9.67/draft
Hitter DVOS
-4.4
#133 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
17
#140 of 172

Value by position โ€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P511 +8.7
IF33 -0.5
OF33 -3.9

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking โ€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half โ‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (โ‰ˆ 0) โ€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks โ€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2006189Bud NorrisP 11.40.8 +10.6
2006129Chris Johnson3B 3.51.0 +2.4
200524Brian BogusevicOF 2.55.0 -2.5
2005194Brandon BarnesOF 0.20.8 -0.6

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2005481.9 19.9-18.0
20065014.8 16.8-2.0
2007420.0 9.0-9.0
Total140 17โ€“ -29.0

DVOS = ฮฃ (a pick's career fWAR โˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in โ€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated โ€” one star swamps a class โ€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.