RRosternomics

← all scouting directors

Mike Shirley

White Sox

2021–present · 4 drafts · 81 picks

Early-Round Selection
-5.3
#88 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-10.2
#123 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-51.0
#146 of 172
-12.76/draft
Hitter DVOS
-6.2
#140 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
14
#141 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
OF31 -0.1
P78 -1.3
IF35 -6.1

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
202122Colson MontgomerySS 5.25.0 +0.2
202194Sean BurkeP 3.11.0 +2.0
202351Grant TaylorP 3.11.8 +1.3
2024140Sam AntonacciOF 1.60.8 +0.8
2022101Jonathan CannonP 1.41.0 +0.4
202315Jacob Gonzalez1B 0.35.8 -5.5
202226Noah SchultzP 0.22.2 -2.1
2022161Tyler SchweitzerP 0.20.8 -0.7
2021245Fraser EllardP 0.10.5 -0.4

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2021208.3 14.9-6.6
2022201.0 11.6-10.6
2023203.2 16.1-12.9
2024211.6 22.6-21.0
Total81 14 -51.0

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.