Rosternomics

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Mike Rikard

Red Sox

2015–2017 · 3 drafts · 119 picks

Early-Round Selection
+3.6
#58 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-7.4
#95 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-28.1
#113 of 172
-9.35/draft
Hitter DVOS
+4.0
#106 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
25
#130 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF34 +2.6
OF211 +1.4
P1410 -0.3

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20157Andrew BenintendiOF 10.69.2 +1.5
201724Tanner HouckP 8.14.9 +3.2
2017491Kutter CrawfordP 4.70.2 +4.4
2016298Santiago Espinal2B 4.00.5 +3.5
2015171Travis LakinsP 0.40.8 -0.4
2015411Bobby PoynerP 0.20.2 -0.1
2016118Bobby Dalbec1B 0.21.0 -0.9
2015921Nick DuronP 0.00.1 -0.0

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2015399.6 18.8-9.1
2016402.8 19.2-16.4
20174012.8 15.4-2.5
Total119 25 -28.1

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.