Rosternomics

← all scouting directors

Mike Elias

Astros

2013–2016 · 4 drafts · 163 picks

Early-Round Selection
-2.8
#75 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+17.8
#21 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-10.8
#82 of 172
-2.71/draft
Hitter DVOS
+66.1
#40 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
120
#58 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF1156 +33.2
OF646 +30.7
C45 +2.2
P1714 -24.1

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20152Alex Bregman3B 44.314.1 +30.2
20155Kyle TuckerOF 26.18.9 +17.2
2014466Ramón LaureanoOF 14.50.2 +14.2
2015319Patrick SandovalP 8.90.3 +8.6
2015349Myles StrawOF 7.60.3 +7.3
201475J.D. Davis3B 6.81.9 +4.9
2013137Tony Kemp2B 5.50.8 +4.7
201697Jake RogersC 5.11.0 +4.0
2014106Daniel MengdenP 2.71.0 +1.6
2014676Ryan ThompsonP 2.40.1 +2.3
2015139Trent ThorntonP 1.90.8 +1.1
2013977Tyler White1B 0.70.1 +0.6
20141006Josh JamesP 0.60.1 +0.6
2013167Jacob NottinghamC 0.50.8 -0.4
20131Mark AppelP 0.123.4 -23.3

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2013405.6 36.7-31.1
20144125.0 39.0-14.1
20154286.6 38.6+47.9
2016403.3 16.9-13.6
Total163 120 -10.8

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.