Michael Holmes — Scouting Director

Early-Round Selection

-11.4

#129 of 172

rds 1–10, cost-ctrl

Late-Round Value

-9.7

#116 of 172

rds 11+, total career

Total DVOS

-76.7

#162 of 172

-12.78/draft

Hitter DVOS

-4.8

#138 of 172

reliable skill (+0.54)

Career fWAR drafted

#135 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

Pos	Picks	fWAR	DVOS
C	1	10	+2.2
P	12	6	-1.6
OF	3	-1	-2.6
IF	4	5	-4.5

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

Yr	Ovr	Player	Pos	fWAR	Exp	DVOS
2020	13	Patrick Bailey	C	10.0	7.8	+2.2
2019	116	Tyler Fitzgerald	2B	3.3	1.0	+2.3
2021	356	Landen Roupp	P	3.1	0.3	+2.8
2020	85	Kyle Harrison	P	2.7	1.0	+1.7
2020	49	Casey Schmitt	2B	1.7	2.3	-0.6
2019	326	Trevor McDonald	P	0.8	0.3	+0.5
2019	686	Taylor Rashi	P	0.4	0.1	+0.3
2022	136	Spencer Miles	P	0.3	0.8	-0.5
2022	196	Hayden Birdsong	P	0.1	0.8	-0.7
2022	106	William Kempner	P	0.0	1.0	-1.0
2019	776	Nick Avila	P	0.0	0.1	-0.0

By draft class

Year	Picks	fWAR	Expected	DVOS
2019	40	3.5	19.2	-15.7
2020	7	14.4	16.8	-2.3
2021	20	2.9	16.5	-13.6
2022	20	-0.1	11.6	-11.7
2023	21	-0.4	17.8	-18.2
2024	18	0.0	15.2	-15.2
Total	126	20	–	-76.7

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.