RRosternomics

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Michael Holmes

Giants

2019–present · 6 drafts · 126 picks

Early-Round Selection
-7.5
#105 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-8.5
#109 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-71.7
#161 of 172
-11.94/draft
Hitter DVOS
-2.0
#126 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
26
#132 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
C210 +2.3
P129 +1.1
OF30 -1.5
IF46 -2.8

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
202013Patrick BaileyC 10.27.9 +2.3
2021356Landen RouppP 3.80.3 +3.5
202085Kyle HarrisonP 3.41.0 +2.3
2019116Tyler Fitzgerald2B 3.31.0 +2.3
202049Casey Schmitt2B 2.52.4 +0.2
2019326Trevor McDonaldP 1.20.3 +0.9
2022136Spencer MilesP 1.00.8 +0.1
2022256Wade MecklerOF 0.90.5 +0.4
202316Bryce Eldridge1B 0.65.8 -5.2
2019686Taylor RashiP 0.40.1 +0.3
2019236Caleb KilianP 0.20.5 -0.3
2023510Drew CavanaughC 0.20.2 -0.1
2022196Hayden BirdsongP 0.10.8 -0.7
2022106William KempnerP 0.11.0 -0.9
2019776Nick AvilaP 0.00.1 -0.0

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2019404.3 19.3-15.0
2020716.1 16.9-0.8
2021203.3 16.6-13.3
2022201.6 11.7-10.0
2023210.8 18.0-17.2
2024180.0 15.3-15.3
Total126 26 -71.7

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.