RRosternomics

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Matt Swanson

Angels

2017–2021 · 5 drafts · 144 picks

Early-Round Selection
-8.3
#113 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-12.0
#128 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-57.9
#151 of 172
-11.57/draft
Hitter DVOS
-24.5
#169 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
26
#131 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P1927 -0.4
IF4-0 -9.8
OF3-1 -14.8

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
202010Reid DetmersP 9.47.8 +1.5
2018121Kyle BradishP 8.71.0 +7.6
201747Griffin CanningP 5.42.4 +3.1
201857Jeremiah Jackson2B 1.11.8 -0.8
2018391Cooper CriswellP 1.10.3 +0.8
2017565Isaac MattsonP 0.80.2 +0.6
2019211Davis DanielP 0.40.8 -0.4
2018181Austin WarrenP 0.40.8 -0.4
2021321Chase SilsethP 0.40.3 +0.1
20219Sam BachmanP 0.47.8 -7.5
2018211Andrew WantzP 0.40.8 -0.4
201992Jack KochanowiczP 0.31.0 -0.8
2019841Coleman CrowP 0.20.1 +0.1
2021141Brett KerryP 0.10.8 -0.8
2019151Garrett StallingsP 0.10.8 -0.8

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2017405.3 19.9-14.5
20184010.6 17.1-6.4
2019400.2 16.9-16.7
202049.4 10.7-1.4
2021200.7 19.6-18.9
Total144 26 -57.9

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.