Rosternomics

← all scouting directors

Matt Nerland

Giants

1999–2001, 2003–2007 · 8 drafts · 404 picks

Early-Round Selection
+14.9
#30 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-7.5
#97 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-39.6
#129 of 172
-4.95/draft
Hitter DVOS
-22.3
#167 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
109
#66 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P37108 +57.6
OF86 -0.2
C9-1 -4.7
IF12-4 -17.4

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
200710Madison BumgarnerP 37.47.8 +29.6
200610Tim LincecumP 27.07.8 +19.2
2005852Sergio RomoP 9.80.1 +9.7
200130Noah LowryP 7.62.2 +5.5
2003723Brian WilsonP 6.30.1 +6.2
2004820Jonathan SánchezP 6.00.1 +6.0
200363Nate SchierholtzOF 5.31.8 +3.5
199939Jerome WilliamsP 4.02.8 +1.1
200021Boof BonserP 3.04.9 -1.9
2007644Dan OteroP 2.90.1 +2.9
2000931Brian BurresP 1.90.1 +1.8
200121Brad HennesseyP 1.24.9 -3.7
200322David AardsmaP 1.04.9 -3.9
20061076Matt Downs2B 0.90.1 +0.8
2000661Jason EllisonOF 0.70.1 +0.7

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
1999524.7 20.6-15.8
2000505.1 16.5-11.3
2001529.0 20.5-11.5
20035212.8 21.1-8.3
2004493.6 11.7-8.0
2005478.4 8.2+0.2
20065025.5 20.8+4.7
20075239.6 29.2+10.4
Total404 109 -39.6

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.