Rosternomics

← all scouting directors

Matt Dorey

Cubs

2014–2019 · 6 drafts · 241 picks

Early-Round Selection
+4.6
#51 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-22.3
#153 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+6.8
#57 of 172
+1.13/draft
Hitter DVOS
+37.0
#64 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
106
#69 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF1243 +25.1
P2741 +22.1
OF422 +12.1
C30 -0.2

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20144Kyle SchwarberDH 23.410.3 +13.1
2014169Dylan CeaseP 23.10.8 +22.3
20159Ian HappOF 22.27.8 +14.4
201824Nico Hoerner2B 21.64.9 +16.7
2014139Justin SteeleP 10.20.8 +9.4
2017195Jeremiah EstradaP 2.50.8 +1.7
2019252DJ HerzP 1.70.5 +1.2
2019912Bryan KingP 1.50.1 +1.4
2015443Scott EffrossP 1.40.2 +1.2
201582Bryan HudsonP 1.41.0 +0.4
201730Alex LangeP 0.92.2 -1.3
2017105Keegan ThompsonP 0.71.0 -0.3
2017165Nelson VelázquezDH 0.70.8 -0.1
2014199James NorwoodP 0.30.8 -0.5
2019402Porter HodgeP 0.30.2 +0.0

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20144056.6 23.2+33.4
20154024.4 19.8+4.6
201638-2.2 8.7-10.8
2017412.4 14.9-12.5
20184220.9 19.7+1.2
2019403.5 12.6-9.2
Total241 106 +6.8

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.