Rosternomics

โ† all scouting directors

Matt Dorey

Cubs

2014โ€“2019 ยท 6 drafts ยท 241 picks

Early-Round Selection
+4.1
#53 of 172
rds 1โ€“10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-22.8
#154 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+10.8
#55 of 172
+1.79/draft
Hitter DVOS
+38.8
#62 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
111
#67 of 172

Value by position โ€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF1244 +26.2
P2744 +25.1
OF423 +13.0
C3-0 -0.4

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking โ€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half โ‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (โ‰ˆ 0) โ€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks โ€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2014169Dylan CeaseP 26.30.8 +25.4
20144Kyle SchwarberDH 24.410.4 +14.0
20159Ian HappOF 23.27.9 +15.3
201824Nico Hoerner2B 22.45.0 +17.4
2014139Justin SteeleP 10.20.8 +9.4
2017195Jeremiah EstradaP 2.80.8 +2.0
201582Bryan HudsonP 1.81.1 +0.7
2019252DJ HerzP 1.70.5 +1.2
2015443Scott EffrossP 1.40.2 +1.2
2017105Keegan ThompsonP 0.91.0 -0.1
201730Alex LangeP 0.82.2 -1.4
2017465Jared Young1B 0.70.2 +0.5
2019912Bryan KingP 0.70.1 +0.6
2014199James NorwoodP 0.30.8 -0.5
2016134Tyson MillerP 0.20.8 -0.6

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20144060.8 23.4+37.3
20154025.5 20.0+5.5
201638-2.4 8.8-11.1
2017412.6 15.2-12.5
20184221.7 20.0+1.7
2019402.7 12.8-10.1
Total241 111โ€“ +10.8

DVOS = ฮฃ (a pick's career fWAR โˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in โ€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated โ€” one star swamps a class โ€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.