RRosternomics

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Marti Wolever

Phillies

2002–2014 · 13 drafts · 624 picks

Early-Round Selection
+14.2
#31 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-34.9
#167 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+19.5
#51 of 172
+1.50/draft
Hitter DVOS
+30.9
#72 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
232
#26 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P64162 +109.0
IF1431 +14.9
OF1327 +12.0
C913 +4.0

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
200217Cole HamelsP 53.06.0 +47.0
20147Aaron NolaP 37.99.2 +28.7
2003115Michael BournOF 21.81.0 +20.8
200492J.A. HappP 21.01.0 +19.9
200737Travis d'ArnaudC 20.32.8 +17.5
201316J.P. CrawfordSS 18.75.8 +12.9
2014142Rhys Hoskins1B 11.90.8 +11.1
2011241Ken GilesP 9.50.5 +9.0
2008102Vance WorleyP 6.11.0 +5.0
2003595Brad ZieglerP 6.00.2 +5.7
2003205Kyle KendrickP 5.80.8 +5.0
2008136Trevor MayP 5.60.8 +4.8
2007923Jake DiekmanP 4.50.1 +4.5
2009617Darin Ruf1B 3.30.1 +3.2
2012248Hoby MilnerP 2.70.5 +2.3

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20024852.8 17.9+34.9
20034833.5 10.2+23.3
20045015.6 16.6-1.0
200549-0.2 11.7-11.9
2006510.9 20.5-19.6
20075224.8 20.1+4.6
20085316.6 21.8-5.2
2009493.6 11.2-7.6
2010503.0 13.3-10.4
20115110.4 14.7-4.3
2012422.3 15.9-13.6
20134119.5 17.9+1.6
20144049.9 21.2+28.7
Total624 232 +19.5

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.