Rosternomics

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Mark Conner

Tigers, Padres

2015–2017, 2020–2021, 2023–present Β· 7 drafts Β· 192 picks

Early-Round Selection
-6.9
#103 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+10.7
#29 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-58.7
#152 of 172
-8.38/draft
Hitter DVOS
+0.7
#112 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
92
#76 of 172

Value by position β€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P2954 +13.6
IF816 +12.5
C31 -5.0
OF1121 -6.8

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking β€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half β‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (β‰ˆ 0) β€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks β€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
202127Jackson MerrillOF 11.22.2 +9.0
20151017Ty France1B 11.00.1 +11.0
20173MacKenzie GoreP 10.911.2 -0.3
202162James WoodOF 8.51.8 +6.7
20161044David BednarP 8.30.1 +8.3
20168Cal QuantrillP 8.29.3 -1.1
201625Eric LauerP 6.05.0 +1.0
2015207Trevor MegillP 5.70.8 +4.9
202337Kevin McGonigle3B 4.62.9 +1.7
2016114Joey LucchesiP 4.01.0 +2.9
2017468Joey CantilloP 3.80.2 +3.5
2015597Phil MatonP 3.20.2 +2.9
2016444Jack SuwinskiOF 2.00.2 +1.8
202171Robert GasserP 1.51.9 -0.4
201739Luis CampusanoC 1.22.9 -1.7

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20153919.5 11.6+7.9
20164328.4 33.3-4.9
20174117.1 26.6-9.5
20206-0.9 18.3-19.3
20212122.6 14.2+8.5
2023215.2 25.9-20.7
2024210.0 20.9-20.9
Total192 92– -58.7

DVOS = Ξ£ (a pick's career fWAR βˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in β€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated β€” one star swamps a class β€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.