Rosternomics

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Mark Conner

Tigers, Padres

2015–2017, 2020–2021, 2023–present · 7 drafts · 192 picks

Early-Round Selection
-10.7
#128 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+6.4
#34 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-72.7
#160 of 172
-10.39/draft
Hitter DVOS
+5.7
#102 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
76
#85 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF812 +8.3
P2847 +7.4
OF817 +0.7
C20 -3.3

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20173MacKenzie GoreP 9.311.0 -1.7
20151017Ty France1B 9.00.1 +8.9
202127Jackson MerrillOF 8.72.2 +6.5
20168Cal QuantrillP 7.39.2 -1.8
202162James WoodOF 7.21.8 +5.4
20161044David BednarP 7.00.1 +7.0
201625Eric LauerP 5.74.9 +0.8
2015207Trevor MegillP 4.40.8 +3.6
2016114Joey LucchesiP 4.01.0 +2.9
2015597Phil MatonP 3.40.2 +3.2
202337Kevin McGonigle3B 2.52.8 -0.4
2017468Joey CantilloP 2.40.2 +2.1
2016444Jack SuwinskiOF 2.00.2 +1.8
2021190Ryan BergertP 1.00.8 +0.2
201739Luis CampusanoC 0.82.8 -2.1

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20153916.3 11.4+4.9
20164326.2 32.8-6.6
20174113.9 26.2-12.3
20206-1.0 18.1-19.0
20212117.9 13.9+3.9
2023212.3 25.5-23.2
2024210.0 20.5-20.5
Total192 76 -72.7

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.