RRosternomics

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Mark Conner

Tigers, Padres

2015–2017, 2020–2021, 2023–present · 7 drafts · 192 picks

Early-Round Selection
-8.4
#114 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+8.6
#29 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-65.1
#157 of 172
-9.30/draft
Hitter DVOS
+8.2
#98 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
84
#79 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P2850 +10.9
IF814 +10.5
OF919 +2.9
C31 -5.2

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20173MacKenzie GoreP 10.211.1 -0.9
20151017Ty France1B 9.50.1 +9.5
202127Jackson MerrillOF 9.12.2 +6.9
202162James WoodOF 9.11.8 +7.3
20161044David BednarP 7.70.1 +7.6
20168Cal QuantrillP 7.19.2 -2.1
201625Eric LauerP 5.85.0 +0.9
2015207Trevor MegillP 5.30.8 +4.5
2016114Joey LucchesiP 4.01.0 +2.9
202337Kevin McGonigle3B 3.82.8 +1.0
2017468Joey CantilloP 3.30.2 +3.1
2015597Phil MatonP 3.20.2 +3.0
2016444Jack SuwinskiOF 2.00.2 +1.8
2021190Ryan BergertP 1.00.8 +0.2
201739Luis CampusanoC 0.92.8 -1.9

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20153917.6 11.5+6.1
20164327.2 33.0-5.9
20174115.9 26.4-10.5
20206-0.7 18.2-18.9
20212120.4 14.1+6.4
2023214.1 25.7-21.7
2024210.0 20.6-20.6
Total192 84 -65.1

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.