Rosternomics

โ† all scouting directors

Lonnie Goldberg

Royals

2012โ€“2013, 2015โ€“2017 ยท 5 drafts ยท 202 picks

Early-Round Selection
-18.9
#156 of 172
rds 1โ€“10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-0.5
#51 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-51.4
#145 of 172
-10.28/draft
Hitter DVOS
-12.1
#158 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
42
#114 of 172

Value by position โ€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P2333 +10.6
C1-0 -0.4
OF5-2 -5.6
IF810 -6.1

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking โ€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half โ‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (โ‰ˆ 0) โ€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks โ€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
201334Sean ManaeaP 17.32.9 +14.4
2016163Nicky Lopez2B 8.20.8 +7.4
2012643Matt StrahmP 7.80.1 +7.7
2016613Anthony BenderP 3.00.1 +3.0
2017450Robert GarciaP 2.60.2 +2.4
201564Josh StaumontP 1.71.8 -0.2
2012583Andrew TriggsP 1.50.2 +1.2
2015579Emmanuel Rivera3B 1.40.2 +1.2
2012673Alec MillsP 1.00.1 +0.9
2013534Frank Schwindel1B 0.90.2 +0.7
2013474Kevin McCarthyP 0.90.2 +0.7
20138Hunter Dozier3B 0.79.3 -8.6
2012283Daniel StumpfP 0.30.5 -0.2
2017360Collin SniderP 0.30.3 -0.0
20125Kyle ZimmerP 0.29.0 -8.8

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2012409.3 19.7-10.4
20134118.8 24.3-5.5
2015412.9 19.0-16.1
20163910.2 10.7-0.5
2017410.4 19.3-18.9
Total202 42โ€“ -51.4

DVOS = ฮฃ (a pick's career fWAR โˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in โ€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated โ€” one star swamps a class โ€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.