RRosternomics

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Lonnie Goldberg

Royals

2012–2013, 2015–2017 · 5 drafts · 202 picks

Early-Round Selection
-18.6
#155 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-0.0
#51 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-50.4
#145 of 172
-10.09/draft
Hitter DVOS
-12.1
#157 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
42
#113 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P2333 +11.1
C1-0 -0.4
OF5-2 -5.6
IF810 -6.0

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
201334Sean ManaeaP 17.32.8 +14.5
2016163Nicky Lopez2B 8.20.8 +7.4
2012643Matt StrahmP 8.10.1 +8.0
2016613Anthony BenderP 3.10.1 +3.0
2017450Robert GarciaP 2.60.2 +2.4
201564Josh StaumontP 1.71.8 -0.2
2012583Andrew TriggsP 1.50.2 +1.2
2015579Emmanuel Rivera3B 1.40.2 +1.2
2012673Alec MillsP 1.00.1 +0.9
2013534Frank Schwindel1B 0.90.2 +0.7
2013474Kevin McCarthyP 0.90.2 +0.7
20138Hunter Dozier3B 0.79.2 -8.5
2012283Daniel StumpfP 0.30.5 -0.2
2017360Collin SniderP 0.30.3 -0.0
20125Kyle ZimmerP 0.29.0 -8.8

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2012409.6 19.6-10.0
20134118.8 24.1-5.3
2015412.9 18.9-16.0
20163910.2 10.6-0.4
2017410.3 19.1-18.8
Total202 42 -50.4

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.