Rosternomics

โ† all scouting directors

Larry Doughty

Reds

1983โ€“1987 ยท 3 drafts ยท 126 picks

Early-Round Selection
+13.2
#34 of 172
rds 1โ€“10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-2.9
#71 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+69.5
#21 of 172
+23.18/draft
Hitter DVOS
+103.2
#23 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
136
#54 of 172

Value by position โ€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF772 +55.9
OF244 +42.8
C47 +4.5
P913 -0.2

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking โ€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half โ‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (โ‰ˆ 0) โ€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks โ€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
19854Barry LarkinSS 67.010.4 +56.6
1987180Reggie SandersOF 39.70.8 +38.9
1987387Butch HenryP 7.30.3 +7.0
1986150Eddie TaubenseeC 6.80.8 +6.0
1986228Chuck CarrOF 4.40.5 +3.9
1986280Keith Lockhart2B 4.10.5 +3.6
198672Reggie JeffersonDH 4.01.9 +2.0
198718Jack ArmstrongP 3.66.0 -2.5
1987361Bill RisleyP 1.30.3 +1.0
198617Scott ScudderP 0.66.0 -5.4
1987725Milt HillP 0.40.1 +0.3

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
19852866.5 25.1+41.3
19863719.2 20.1-0.8
19876150.6 21.6+29.0
Total126 136โ€“ +69.5

DVOS = ฮฃ (a pick's career fWAR โˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in โ€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated โ€” one star swamps a class โ€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.