RRosternomics

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Kris Gross

Astros

2021 · 1 drafts · 19 picks

Early-Round Selection
+0.7
#64 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-3.0
#73 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-7.6
#77 of 172
-7.65/draft
Hitter DVOS
-0.7
#120 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
2
#161 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
OF11 +0.2
IF2-0 -0.9
P31 -1.0

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2021178Spencer ArrighettiP 1.90.8 +1.2
2021208Joey LoperfidoOF 1.00.8 +0.2
2021538Will Wagner2B 0.30.2 +0.0

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2021191.7 9.3-7.6
Total19 2 -7.6

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.