RRosternomics

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Kip Fagg

Rangers

2010–present · 15 drafts · 510 picks

Early-Round Selection
-30.3
#168 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-16.8
#143 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-126.1
#171 of 172
-8.41/draft
Hitter DVOS
-7.7
#148 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
143
#51 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P6794 +10.4
C411 +8.0
IF1621 -7.4
OF1418 -8.4

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2011264Kyle HendricksP 26.20.5 +25.8
201239Joey GalloOF 13.22.8 +10.3
2011564Nick MartinezP 9.50.2 +9.2
201630Cole RagansP 9.12.2 +6.9
20234Wyatt LangfordOF 8.710.4 -1.7
2013130Isiah Kiner-FalefaSS 8.21.0 +7.2
2014186Jose TrevinoC 7.80.8 +7.0
2015198Dylan Moore2B 7.80.8 +7.0
20198Josh Jung3B 7.69.2 -1.6
2015888Jeffrey SpringsP 6.00.1 +5.9
2015258Pete FairbanksP 5.60.5 +5.1
2011474Jerad EickhoffP 5.00.2 +4.7
2012396Keone KelaP 4.00.3 +3.7
202050Evan CarterOF 3.82.4 +1.5
2010826Alex ClaudioP 3.20.1 +3.1

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2010534.0 26.6-22.6
20115142.8 16.0+26.8
20124313.8 17.3-3.5
2013406.4 18.2-11.8
20144012.1 13.3-1.2
20154020.6 23.3-2.7
20164010.6 13.3-2.7
2017412.7 15.0-12.3
2018400.5 17.2-16.7
20194110.7 23.6-12.9
202054.2 11.0-6.8
2021204.6 26.4-21.8
2022181.5 18.6-17.1
2023188.7 17.9-9.2
2024200.0 11.6-11.6
Total510 143 -126.1

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.