RRosternomics

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Johnny Almaraz

Phillies

2015–2019 · 5 drafts · 197 picks

Early-Round Selection
-7.3
#103 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-13.1
#131 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-71.2
#160 of 172
-14.24/draft
Hitter DVOS
-28.7
#171 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
42
#114 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P1614 +4.4
C11 +0.8
IF818 -3.0
OF48 -26.5

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
201914Bryson Stott2B 11.75.8 +6.0
20183Alec Bohm3B 8.711.1 -2.4
2018137Matt VierlingOF 4.50.8 +3.7
2016137Cole IrvinP 4.50.8 +3.6
2017983Ben BrownP 4.40.1 +4.3
2015144Bailey FalterP 3.10.8 +2.3
20161Mickey MoniakOF 2.923.5 -20.7
2016107JoJo RomeroP 1.71.0 +0.6
2018677Logan O'HoppeC 0.90.1 +0.8
2019120Erik MillerP 0.71.0 -0.3
2018347James McArthurP 0.60.3 +0.3
2017173Dalton GuthrieOF 0.40.8 -0.4
2015174Tyler GilbertP 0.40.8 -0.4
20178Adam HaseleyOF 0.19.2 -9.2
2017473Kyle DohyP 0.00.2 -0.2

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2015402.3 19.9-17.6
2016408.7 36.4-27.7
2017403.3 21.2-17.9
20183814.8 19.8-5.0
20193912.4 15.4-3.0
Total197 42 -71.2

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.