Rosternomics

โ† all scouting directors

John Mirabelli

Guardians

2000โ€“2007 ยท 8 drafts ยท 410 picks

Early-Round Selection
-22.0
#163 of 172
rds 1โ€“10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-10.2
#120 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-95.6
#169 of 172
-11.95/draft
Hitter DVOS
+2.3
#109 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
88
#78 of 172

Value by position โ€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P2855 +16.6
OF610 +2.5
IF1323 +2.2
C3-0 -2.4

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking โ€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half โ‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (โ‰ˆ 0) โ€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks โ€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2006161Chris ArcherP 20.70.8 +19.8
2001277Luke ScottDH 11.40.5 +10.9
200222Jeremy GuthrieP 11.35.0 +6.3
2003168Kevin Kouzmanoff3B 9.50.8 +8.7
2000426Ryan ChurchOF 8.30.2 +8.1
2006581Josh TomlinP 7.10.2 +6.8
2006611Vinnie PestanoP 2.60.1 +2.6
20046Jeremy SowersP 2.512.8 -10.3
2000246Joe Inglett2B 2.50.5 +2.0
200656Steven WrightP 2.31.8 +0.5
2003468Aaron LaffeyP 2.30.2 +2.0
2002154Ben FranciscoOF 2.10.8 +1.3
2004557Chris GimenezC 2.10.2 +1.8
20041333Tony SippP 1.50.1 +1.4
200639David HuffP 1.32.9 -1.6

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20004812.3 18.5-6.2
20015311.4 25.3-13.9
20025413.4 25.0-11.6
20035212.1 30.4-18.3
2004505.6 26.4-20.7
200552-0.4 21.5-21.9
20065332.6 19.7+12.9
2007480.5 16.3-15.8
Total410 88โ€“ -95.6

DVOS = ฮฃ (a pick's career fWAR โˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in โ€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated โ€” one star swamps a class โ€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.