Rosternomics

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John Cox

Reds

1988–1989 · 2 drafts · 113 picks

Early-Round Selection
-6.5
#96 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+16.0
#24 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-6.7
#75 of 172
-3.34/draft
Hitter DVOS
-4.3
#135 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
29
#124 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P1031 +25.1
OF1-2 -2.0
IF10 -2.3

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
1989288Trevor HoffmanP 25.80.5 +25.3
1988488Jerry SpradlinP 2.80.2 +2.5
1989158Tim PughP 2.20.8 +1.4
1988306Steve FosterP 1.00.3 +0.7
198845Jeff Branson2B 0.02.3 -2.3

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
1988583.5 15.2-11.8
19895525.8 20.7+5.1
Total113 29 -6.7

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.