Rosternomics

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John Barr

Orioles, Mets, Giants

1989–1990, 1994–1997, 2008–2012 · 11 drafts · 587 picks

Early-Round Selection
+40.4
#8 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-5.1
#84 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+129.8
#5 of 172
+11.80/draft
Hitter DVOS
+143.5
#9 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
401
#1 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P55212 +118.3
IF1688 +75.1
C871 +58.4
OF1830 +10.1

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
199020Mike MussinaP 81.35.9 +75.4
20085Buster PoseyC 57.88.9 +48.9
20096Zack WheelerP 42.812.6 +30.1
1995217A.J. BurnettP 41.90.8 +41.1
2008117Brandon CrawfordSS 30.91.0 +29.8
2009147Brandon Belt1B 27.00.8 +26.2
19891Ben McDonaldP 20.523.3 -2.8
1989425Gregg ZaunC 15.30.2 +15.0
199429Jay PaytonOF 12.02.2 +9.9
2010348Adam DuvallOF 11.00.3 +10.7
1989217Mike Lansing2B 10.00.8 +9.3
2012568Matt Duffy3B 8.90.2 +8.7
201129Joe Panik2B 8.42.2 +6.2
19941Paul WilsonP 8.023.3 -15.3
199420Terrence LongOF 4.95.9 -1.0

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
19894648.2 41.5+6.7
19904583.6 19.8+63.9
19947926.3 50.5-24.2
19956344.1 20.5+23.6
1996551.9 21.5-19.6
199758-2.5 25.0-27.5
20085089.0 21.9+67.1
20095070.2 24.6+45.6
20105011.1 16.0-4.9
20115112.6 14.7-2.2
20124016.8 15.5+1.3
Total587 401 +129.8

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.