Rosternomics

โ† all scouting directors

Joe Jordan

Orioles

2005โ€“2011 ยท 7 drafts ยท 349 picks

Early-Round Selection
+6.7
#45 of 172
rds 1โ€“10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-12.4
#129 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+2.8
#61 of 172
+0.40/draft
Hitter DVOS
+36.5
#65 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
154
#50 of 172

Value by position โ€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P2475 +40.1
IF659 +35.7
C420 +9.1
OF90 -8.3

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking โ€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half โ‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (โ‰ˆ 0) โ€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks โ€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20103Manny Machado3B 59.211.2 +48.0
2007159Jake ArrietaP 25.20.8 +24.3
20075Matt WietersC 15.59.0 +6.5
200685Zack BrittonP 10.21.1 +9.2
20114Dylan BundyP 10.110.4 -0.3
2011785Zach DaviesP 10.10.1 +10.0
200954Mychal GivensP 5.81.8 +4.0
2005483David HernandezP 5.70.2 +5.4
20084Brian MatuszP 4.510.4 -6.0
2008206Caleb JosephC 4.30.8 +3.5
20081286Oliver DrakeP 1.80.1 +1.7
200561Nolan ReimoldOF 1.71.8 -0.2
2011305Tyler WilsonP 0.70.3 +0.4
2010268Parker BridwellP 0.40.5 -0.1
2006175Jason BerkenP 0.40.8 -0.4

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2005517.8 22.1-14.3
20065110.0 22.9-12.9
20074840.5 17.8+22.6
2008509.3 23.1-13.8
2009505.6 21.1-15.5
20104959.7 21.5+38.2
20115020.7 22.2-1.6
Total349 154โ€“ +2.8

DVOS = ฮฃ (a pick's career fWAR โˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in โ€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated โ€” one star swamps a class โ€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.