RRosternomics

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Joe Dellicarri

Pirates

2012–present · 13 drafts · 420 picks

Early-Round Selection
-42.8
#172 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-38.1
#170 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-209.8
#172 of 172
-16.14/draft
Hitter DVOS
-57.8
#172 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
102
#73 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
OF92 -11.1
IF2035 -23.0
C710 -23.7
P4655 -23.9

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20231Paul SkenesP 14.023.5 -9.5
201464Mitch KellerP 13.01.8 +11.2
2013179Adam Frazier2B 11.30.8 +10.5
201532Ke'Bryan Hayes3B 10.52.8 +7.7
20139Austin MeadowsDH 6.17.8 -1.8
201712Shane BazP 5.57.9 -2.3
201314Reese McGuireC 4.95.8 -0.8
2012226Jacob StallingsC 4.50.5 +4.0
201851Braxton AshcraftP 4.41.8 +2.6
20207Nick Gonzales2B 4.19.2 -5.2
202031Carmen MlodzinskiP 3.82.8 +1.0
201972Jared Triolo3B 3.51.9 +1.6
2014100Jordan LuplowOF 3.51.0 +2.4
2015187JT BrubakerP 3.40.8 +2.6
2013269Chad KuhlP 3.30.5 +2.8

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2012405.6 21.9-16.3
20134128.0 25.1+2.9
20144215.6 20.2-4.6
20154114.8 19.9-5.1
201641-2.1 17.9-20.0
2017425.1 24.1-19.1
2018414.9 22.2-17.2
2019424.7 21.8-17.1
2020610.4 18.2-7.8
2021210.8 37.6-36.8
202221-0.6 24.2-24.8
20232113.7 37.2-23.4
2024211.2 21.6-20.4
Total420 102 -209.8

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.