Rosternomics

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Jim Hendry

Cubs

1996–1998 · 3 drafts · 172 picks

Early-Round Selection
-7.7
#108 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+24.1
#17 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+15.7
#53 of 172
+5.25/draft
Hitter DVOS
+5.1
#102 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
79
#80 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P1259 +45.8
IF39 +8.0
C10 -0.1
OF411 -2.8

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
1996862Kyle LohseP 23.50.1 +23.4
199710Jon GarlandP 21.67.8 +13.8
1998496Eric Hinske3B 11.20.2 +11.0
19983Corey PattersonOF 10.811.0 -0.2
199794Scott DownsP 7.71.0 +6.7
1997334Michael WuertzP 4.10.3 +3.8
1998226Will OhmanP 1.50.5 +1.0
1996592Courtney DuncanP 0.30.2 +0.1
1997124Nate TeutP 0.11.0 -0.9
1997574Chris PiersollP 0.10.2 -0.1
1996292Phil NortonP 0.10.5 -0.4

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
19966321.7 18.6+3.1
19975833.5 18.1+15.4
19985123.4 26.1-2.8
Total172 79 +15.7

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.