Rosternomics

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Jeff Luhnow

Cardinals

2010–2011 · 2 drafts · 102 picks

Early-Round Selection
+0.5
#66 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-7.5
#96 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-14.1
#89 of 172
-7.06/draft
Hitter DVOS
+11.1
#96 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
23
#133 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF421 +14.5
C20 -0.8
OF1-1 -2.7
P103 -3.3

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
201122Kolten Wong2B 17.54.9 +12.6
2010229Greg Garcia2B 3.10.5 +2.6
2010289Tyler LyonsP 1.60.5 +1.1
2011350Seth ManessP 0.80.3 +0.6
2011170Sam GaviglioP 0.60.8 -0.2
2010106Sam TuivailalaP 0.61.0 -0.4
2011230Nick MartiniDH 0.40.5 -0.1
2011860Ryan SherriffP 0.30.1 +0.2
2010139Cody StanleyC 0.10.8 -0.7
2010199John GastP 0.00.8 -0.8

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2010523.8 20.7-16.9
20115018.9 16.0+2.8
Total102 23 -14.1

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.