Rosternomics

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Jay Robertson

Guardians

1994–1996 · 3 drafts · 177 picks

Early-Round Selection
+4.2
#54 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-13.5
#133 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-8.9
#80 of 172
-2.97/draft
Hitter DVOS
+23.9
#81 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
43
#109 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF826 +22.5
P1615 +2.0
OF22 +1.5
C10 -0.1

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
199553Sean Casey1B 15.21.8 +13.4
1994185Russell Branyan1B 12.10.8 +11.3
199410Jaret WrightP 11.47.8 +3.6
1994101Danny GravesP 3.31.0 +2.3
1994829Bruce AvenOF 1.90.1 +1.8
19961559David RiskeP 1.40.1 +1.4
1996363John McDonaldSS 0.90.3 +0.6
1996183Paul RigdonP 0.50.8 -0.3
1996273Sean DePaulaP 0.10.5 -0.4
1996633Jamie BrownP 0.00.1 -0.0

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
19946427.3 20.6+6.6
19955514.0 17.4-3.4
1996582.0 14.2-12.2
Total177 43 -8.9

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.