Rosternomics

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Jack Bowen

Mets

2002–2004 · 3 drafts · 146 picks

Early-Round Selection
+6.8
#46 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-13.3
#133 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-17.2
#98 of 172
-5.72/draft
Hitter DVOS
-7.6
#146 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
39
#115 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P837 +19.0
IF22 +0.5
C10 -0.1
OF1-0 -8.0

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
200215Scott KazmirP 24.85.7 +19.1
2003199Brian BannisterP 6.00.8 +5.2
2002297Matt LindstromP 4.60.5 +4.1
20043Philip HumberP 2.411.0 -8.6
2004254Mike Carp1B 1.30.5 +0.8
2004134Nick Evans1B 0.50.8 -0.3

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20024829.4 14.8+14.5
2003485.5 17.0-11.5
2004504.2 24.4-20.2
Total146 39 -17.2

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.