Rosternomics

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Greg Smith

Tigers, Pirates

1997–1999, 2003–2004, 2008–2011 Β· 9 drafts Β· 436 picks

Early-Round Selection
+0.7
#65 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-30.6
#165 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+51.4
#28 of 172
+5.71/draft
Hitter DVOS
+30.6
#73 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
299
#13 of 172

Value by position β€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P40216 +106.8
OF535 +31.2
IF1447 +9.2
C31 -9.8

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking β€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half β‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (β‰ˆ 0) β€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks β€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20042Justin VerlanderP 83.914.3 +69.6
20111Gerrit ColeP 48.923.7 +25.2
199814Jeff WeaverP 24.25.8 +18.4
2011152Tyler GlasnowP 17.30.8 +16.5
20102Jameson TaillonP 17.314.3 +3.0
199857Brandon Inge3B 14.51.8 +12.7
1999117Cody RossOF 13.31.0 +12.2
1998117Andres TorresOF 11.41.0 +10.3
200879Jordy MercerSS 11.31.9 +9.4
201161Josh Bell1B 10.21.8 +8.4
2008174Robbie GrossmanOF 8.50.8 +7.7
2011272Clay HolmesP 8.10.5 +7.6
20082Pedro Álvarez3B 7.614.3 -6.7
2008144Justin WilsonP 6.80.8 +6.0
2009265Brock Holt2B 6.30.5 +5.8

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
1997420.3 35.4-35.1
19985051.0 22.6+28.4
19994317.8 21.2-3.4
200350-0.6 25.8-26.4
20045084.5 27.9+56.7
20085033.6 27.8+5.7
2009516.3 25.0-18.7
20105019.5 26.4-6.9
20115086.5 35.4+51.1
Total436 299– +51.4

DVOS = Ξ£ (a pick's career fWAR βˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in β€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated β€” one star swamps a class β€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.