Rosternomics

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Greg Smith

Tigers, Pirates

1997–1999, 2003–2004, 2008–2011 Β· 9 drafts Β· 436 picks

Early-Round Selection
+0.3
#66 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-30.7
#165 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+51.1
#28 of 172
+5.68/draft
Hitter DVOS
+30.4
#75 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
300
#13 of 172

Value by position β€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P40216 +107.1
OF535 +31.2
IF1447 +9.0
C31 -9.8

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking β€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half β‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (β‰ˆ 0) β€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks β€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20042Justin VerlanderP 83.914.4 +69.5
20111Gerrit ColeP 48.723.7 +25.0
199814Jeff WeaverP 24.25.8 +18.3
2011152Tyler GlasnowP 18.00.8 +17.2
20102Jameson TaillonP 17.314.4 +2.9
199857Brandon Inge3B 14.51.8 +12.6
1999117Cody RossOF 13.31.0 +12.2
1998117Andres TorresOF 11.41.0 +10.3
200879Jordy MercerSS 11.31.9 +9.4
201161Josh Bell1B 10.31.8 +8.4
2008174Robbie GrossmanOF 8.50.8 +7.7
2011272Clay HolmesP 8.30.5 +7.8
20082Pedro Álvarez3B 7.614.4 -6.8
2008144Justin WilsonP 6.80.8 +6.0
2009265Brock Holt2B 6.30.5 +5.8

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
1997420.3 35.5-35.2
19985051.0 22.7+28.3
19994317.8 21.3-3.5
200350-0.6 26.0-26.6
20045084.5 28.0+56.5
20085033.6 27.9+5.6
2009516.3 25.0-18.8
20105019.4 26.6-7.1
20115087.3 35.5+51.8
Total436 300– +51.1

DVOS = Ξ£ (a pick's career fWAR βˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in β€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated β€” one star swamps a class β€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.