Rosternomics

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Greg Smith

Tigers, Pirates

1997–1999, 2003–2004, 2008–2011 · 9 drafts · 436 picks

Early-Round Selection
+1.8
#62 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-30.3
#165 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+51.4
#28 of 172
+5.71/draft
Hitter DVOS
+30.3
#74 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
295
#13 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P40213 +105.9
OF535 +31.3
IF1446 +8.7
C31 -9.7

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20042Justin VerlanderP 83.914.1 +69.8
20111Gerrit ColeP 47.223.4 +23.8
199814Jeff WeaverP 24.25.7 +18.5
20102Jameson TaillonP 17.614.1 +3.5
2011152Tyler GlasnowP 16.70.8 +15.9
199857Brandon Inge3B 14.51.8 +12.7
1999117Cody RossOF 13.31.0 +12.3
1998117Andres TorresOF 11.41.0 +10.3
200879Jordy MercerSS 11.31.9 +9.4
201161Josh Bell1B 9.11.8 +7.4
2008174Robbie GrossmanOF 8.50.8 +7.7
2011272Clay HolmesP 7.60.5 +7.2
20082Pedro Álvarez3B 7.614.1 -6.5
2008144Justin WilsonP 6.80.8 +6.0
2009265Brock Holt2B 6.30.5 +5.8

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
1997420.3 34.9-34.6
19985051.0 22.3+28.8
19994317.8 20.8-3.0
200350-0.6 25.5-26.1
20045084.5 27.5+57.1
20085033.6 27.4+6.2
2009516.3 24.6-18.4
20105019.7 26.0-6.3
20115082.7 35.0+47.7
Total436 295 +51.4

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.