RRosternomics

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Gary Rajsich

Orioles

2013–2018 · 6 drafts · 242 picks

Early-Round Selection
-7.8
#108 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+18.9
#20 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-9.5
#81 of 172
-1.58/draft
Hitter DVOS
+42.2
#57 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
91
#76 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
OF640 +32.6
IF411 +6.2
C47 +3.5
P3033 -2.0

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2015403Cedric MullinsOF 15.90.2 +15.7
2013429Mike YastrzemskiOF 14.10.2 +13.8
201691Austin HaysOF 8.31.0 +7.2
2014181Tanner ScottP 7.70.8 +6.9
2013129Jonah HeimC 7.71.0 +6.6
2014331John MeansP 7.10.3 +6.8
2013249Trey Mancini1B 7.00.5 +6.5
201536Ryan Mountcastle1B 6.02.8 +3.1
201811Grayson RodriguezP 4.17.9 -3.8
201322Hunter HarveyP 3.45.0 -1.6
201654Keegan AkinP 3.41.8 +1.6
2013339Steven BraultP 3.30.3 +3.0
2016181Tobias MyersP 2.40.8 +1.6
201721DL HallP 1.65.0 -3.4
2015102Garrett CleavingerP 1.51.0 +0.5

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20134133.8 18.9+14.9
20143811.0 9.3+1.7
20154124.7 18.4+6.3
20164115.1 15.2-0.1
2017412.2 17.9-15.8
2018403.9 20.4-16.4
Total242 91 -9.5

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.