Rosternomics

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Gary Nickels

Orioles

1991–1998 · 8 drafts · 374 picks

Early-Round Selection
-24.5
#166 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-10.7
#124 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-48.1
#142 of 172
-6.02/draft
Hitter DVOS
+36.3
#65 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
96
#74 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
OF1460 +31.4
IF1411 +7.6
P2725 +2.9
C2-0 -2.7

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
199722Jayson WerthOF 36.24.9 +31.2
1997345Jerry Hairston Jr.2B 13.70.3 +13.4
1991186Jimmy HaynesP 9.00.8 +8.2
19924Jeffrey HammondsOF 8.310.3 -2.0
199182Alex OchoaOF 6.11.0 +5.0
1996441Josh TowersP 5.90.2 +5.7
1995276David DellucciOF 5.30.5 +4.8
1992492Garrett StephensonP 4.50.2 +4.3
1996291Luis MatosOF 3.90.5 +3.4
199319Jay PowellP 3.25.9 -2.7
1997795D.J. CarrascoP 1.90.1 +1.8
1996381Augie Ojeda2B 1.90.3 +1.6
1991108Vaughn EshelmanP 1.71.0 +0.6
1991602Rick KrivdaP 1.10.1 +1.0
1997165Rick BauerP 1.00.8 +0.2

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
19914817.4 20.7-3.3
19925011.2 24.7-13.5
1993441.7 17.7-16.1
1994430.2 11.9-11.7
1995495.1 18.2-13.1
1996467.6 11.8-4.1
19974352.6 20.5+32.0
1998510.0 18.4-18.4
Total374 96 -48.1

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.