RRosternomics

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Eric Kubota

Athletics

2002–present · 23 drafts · 883 picks

Early-Round Selection
+41.2
#7 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-56.6
#172 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-63.2
#155 of 172
-2.75/draft
Hitter DVOS
+82.2
#30 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
391
#3 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P65155 +87.4
IF42170 +71.2
C1533 +12.9
OF2533 -1.8

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
201118Sonny GrayP 39.86.0 +33.8
201425Matt Chapman3B 36.25.0 +31.2
201247Matt Olson1B 34.32.4 +31.9
2012169Max Muncy1B 25.50.8 +24.7
200216Nick Swisher1B 25.05.8 +19.2
200362Andre EthierOF 24.41.8 +22.5
200224Joe BlantonP 20.15.0 +15.1
201683Sean MurphyC 18.11.0 +17.0
200858Tyson RossP 12.21.8 +10.3
201211Addison RussellSS 11.77.9 +3.8
200741Sean DoolittleP 11.42.4 +9.0
200440Huston StreetP 10.62.8 +7.7
200666Trevor CahillP 10.21.9 +8.3
2011226Blake TreinenP 9.80.5 +9.3
2004727Dallas BradenP 8.10.1 +8.0

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20025150.9 35.2+15.8
20034223.0 21.1+1.8
20044426.6 26.4+0.2
2005409.4 20.1-10.7
20064014.3 11.2+3.1
20075310.9 18.6-7.6
20084912.8 11.7+1.2
2009498.6 17.7-9.1
2010500.7 19.5-18.8
20114949.5 15.2+34.2
20124376.4 25.5+50.9
2013425.9 18.4-12.5
20144035.1 15.5+19.7
2015400.2 17.1-16.8
20164123.1 27.6-4.5
2017410.2 27.6-27.4
2018417.6 21.7-14.2
2019401.3 12.8-11.5
202054.0 6.9-2.9
20212013.8 14.9-1.1
2022212.0 17.8-15.8
2023215.1 27.3-22.2
2024219.6 24.6-15.0
Total883 391 -63.2

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.