Elmer Gray — Scouting Director

Early-Round Selection

+13.8

#33 of 172

rds 1–10, cost-ctrl

Late-Round Value

-16.4

#141 of 172

rds 11+, total career

Total DVOS

+88.5

#16 of 172

+29.49/draft

Hitter DVOS

+138.3

#11 of 172

reliable skill (+0.54)

Career fWAR drafted

183

#39 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

Pos	Picks	fWAR	DVOS
OF	5	166	+150.7
P	10	1	-6.3
IF	7	16	-12.4

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

Yr	Ovr	Player	Pos	fWAR	Exp	DVOS
1985	6	Barry Bonds	OF	164.4	12.6	+151.8
1986	1	Jeff King	1B	17.0	23.3	-6.3
1986	238	Stan Belinda	P	2.9	0.5	+2.4
1987	86	Wes Chamberlain	OF	1.2	1.0	+0.2
1986	186	Tony Longmire	OF	0.7	0.8	-0.0
1987	657	Bob Ayrault	P	0.3	0.1	+0.3
1987	1198	Paul Miller	P	0.1	0.1	+0.0
1986	621	Jeff Banister	PH	0.1	0.1	-0.0

By draft class

Year	Picks	fWAR	Expected	DVOS
1985	36	162.5	27.0	+135.5
1986	34	19.2	37.6	-18.5
1987	53	1.3	29.9	-28.5
Total	123	183	–	+88.5

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.