RRosternomics

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Ed Creech

Dodgers, Pirates, Nationals

1994–1997, 1999–2007 · 13 drafts · 639 picks

Early-Round Selection
-29.9
#167 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-32.0
#166 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+0.6
#65 of 172
+0.04/draft
Hitter DVOS
+112.6
#18 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
282
#14 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
OF13112 +90.7
P47124 +27.7
IF1840 +21.6
C77 +0.3

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
1994140Javier VazquezP 56.20.8 +55.4
200511Andrew McCutchenOF 51.97.9 +44.0
1999194Shane VictorinoOF 29.40.8 +28.6
200411Neil Walker2B 19.87.9 +11.9
199640Milton BradleyOF 19.22.8 +16.3
2001190Edwin JacksonP 18.30.8 +17.5
20038Paul MaholmP 15.39.2 +6.1
1996400Jamey Carroll2B 12.80.3 +12.5
2002973Nyjer MorganOF 11.10.1 +11.1
1995143Brian SchneiderC 8.60.8 +7.7
2005241Steve Pearce1B 7.40.5 +6.9
200345Tom GorzelannyP 6.22.4 +3.8
2007278Tony WatsonP 5.90.5 +5.4
19965John PattersonP 5.89.0 -3.2
199528Michael BarrettC 5.62.2 +3.4

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
19944961.8 22.3+39.4
19954612.4 14.3-1.8
19964637.3 23.3+14.0
1997563.9 33.0-29.2
19995031.3 14.0+17.3
200050-2.3 18.0-20.3
20014918.3 11.8+6.6
20024313.6 36.6-23.0
20035021.1 22.7-1.6
20045019.5 19.9-0.4
20055057.8 19.5+38.3
2006501.1 23.9-22.8
2007506.3 22.2-15.9
Total639 282 +0.6

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.