RRosternomics

← all scouting directors

Duane Shaffer

White Sox

1992–2000, 2004–2006 · 12 drafts · 627 picks

Early-Round Selection
-42.1
#171 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+49.1
#8 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-43.2
#136 of 172
-3.60/draft
Hitter DVOS
-1.5
#125 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
208
#33 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P58164 +98.5
OF1120 +5.3
IF1922 +0.5
C71 -7.2

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
19981139Mark BuehrleP 51.50.1 +51.4
200438Gio GonzalezP 30.72.8 +27.8
199835Aaron RowandOF 23.52.8 +20.6
1994845Eric GagneP 13.90.1 +13.9
1996137Joe Crede3B 13.00.8 +12.2
199816Kip WellsP 11.55.8 +5.7
1993425Mike SirotkaP 11.40.2 +11.2
2005245Clayton RichardP 7.50.5 +7.0
1996377Chad BradfordP 7.30.3 +7.0
199999Jon RauchP 5.91.0 +4.8
19931261Frank Menechino2B 5.60.1 +5.6
1992764Brendan DonnellyP 5.50.1 +5.5
199889Josh FoggP 5.11.0 +4.1
200082Michael Morse1B 4.71.0 +3.6
2005455Chris Carter1B 4.60.2 +4.4

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
1992504.9 17.2-12.3
19934914.0 18.2-4.1
19945513.6 19.9-6.3
199554-2.5 17.5-20.0
19965322.4 21.5+0.9
1997572.9 29.8-26.8
19985291.9 21.7+70.2
1999547.6 29.5-21.9
2000502.0 19.9-18.0
20045434.3 27.4+6.9
20054914.0 15.6-1.6
2006503.3 13.4-10.1
Total627 208 -43.2

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.