Rosternomics

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Deron Johnson

Twins

2008–2010, 2012–2016 Β· 8 drafts Β· 358 picks

Early-Round Selection
-18.0
#148 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-16.2
#142 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-18.0
#99 of 172
-2.25/draft
Hitter DVOS
+36.5
#65 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
164
#44 of 172

Value by position β€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF933 +18.7
OF1552 +17.8
P4173 +13.2
C66 -0.0

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking β€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half β‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (β‰ˆ 0) β€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks β€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20122Byron BuxtonOF 29.614.4 +15.2
2009252Brian Dozier2B 25.10.5 +24.6
200922Kyle GibsonP 21.65.0 +16.6
201232JosΓ© BerrΓ­osP 21.12.9 +18.2
200814Aaron HicksOF 11.35.8 +5.5
2010135Eddie RosarioOF 10.20.8 +9.3
2012340Taylor RogersP 8.90.3 +8.6
2013260Mitch GarverC 8.00.5 +7.5
201693Griffin JaxP 7.21.1 +6.1
2012160Tyler DuffeyP 5.10.8 +4.3
201071Niko Goodrum2B 4.81.9 +2.9
2016453Tyler WellsP 4.40.2 +4.1
2015260LaMonte Wade Jr.1B 3.50.5 +3.0
201674Akil BaddooOF 1.91.9 -0.0
2015200Jovani MorΓ‘nP 1.40.8 +0.6

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20085211.1 22.8-11.7
20095144.9 18.7+26.2
20105014.0 16.3-2.3
20124365.5 32.8+32.7
2013407.3 23.5-16.3
2014401.8 22.1-20.3
2015404.9 25.4-20.5
20164215.0 20.9-5.9
Total358 164– -18.0

DVOS = Ξ£ (a pick's career fWAR βˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in β€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated β€” one star swamps a class β€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.