Rosternomics

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Deric Ladnier

Diamondbacks, Astros, Royals

2001–2008, 2015–2019, 2021, 2024–present Β· 15 drafts Β· 652 picks

Early-Round Selection
-16.1
#145 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-35.3
#168 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-59.4
#154 of 172
-3.96/draft
Hitter DVOS
+38.2
#63 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
315
#10 of 172

Value by position β€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P48140 +64.3
OF1491 +42.5
IF2384 -1.8
C3-0 -2.5

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking β€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half β‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (β‰ˆ 0) β€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks β€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20026Zack GreinkeP 72.312.8 +59.4
20151Dansby SwansonSS 31.923.7 +8.2
20052Alex GordonOF 31.414.4 +17.0
201916Corbin CarrollOF 21.95.8 +16.1
200796Danny DuffyP 16.31.1 +15.2
20072Mike Moustakas3B 15.214.4 +0.8
201768Daulton VarshoOF 14.21.9 +12.3
2007306Greg HollandP 11.80.3 +11.5
20061475Jarrod DysonOF 11.70.1 +11.6
20083Eric Hosmer1B 11.011.3 -0.3
20061Luke HochevarP 8.923.7 -14.9
201839Jake McCarthyOF 8.12.9 +5.2
2017202JosΓ© CaballeroSS 7.10.8 +6.3
200414Billy Butler1B 6.35.8 +0.4
201956Ryne NelsonP 5.31.8 +3.5

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
200150-0.4 20.1-20.5
20025072.6 26.5+46.1
2003513.1 24.9-21.8
20045311.6 25.0-13.4
20055030.6 27.1+3.5
20065021.2 37.4-16.2
20075050.1 26.3+23.8
20085118.2 27.7-9.6
20154033.1 36.8-3.7
2016404.8 14.5-9.7
20174121.0 23.4-2.4
20184113.9 19.1-5.2
20194531.3 28.9+2.4
2021213.9 26.7-22.8
2024190.0 9.9-9.9
Total652 315– -59.4

DVOS = Ξ£ (a pick's career fWAR βˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in β€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated β€” one star swamps a class β€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.