Rosternomics

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De Jon Watson

Reds

1998–2000 · 3 drafts · 150 picks

Early-Round Selection
+8.4
#43 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+0.4
#48 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-0.5
#67 of 172
-0.16/draft
Hitter DVOS
+28.1
#77 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
61
#94 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF228 +24.0
P1517 +8.7
OF316 +7.1
C1-1 -3.0

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
199850Adam Dunn1B 25.62.3 +23.2
19987Austin KearnsOF 16.79.1 +7.5
1998500B.J. RyanP 10.90.2 +10.7
199965Ben Broussard1B 2.51.8 +0.8
1998170Bobby MadritschP 2.20.8 +1.4
200034Dustin MoseleyP 1.92.8 -0.9
19981220Todd CoffeyP 1.70.1 +1.7
1998350John KoronkaP 0.40.3 +0.2
1999638Brad SalmonP 0.10.1 +0.0
1998200Josh HallP 0.00.8 -0.8

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
19984857.7 22.4+35.2
1999502.4 17.3-14.8
2000520.8 21.6-20.9
Total150 61 -0.5

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.