Rosternomics

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David Lakey

Astros

1997–2004 · 8 drafts · 353 picks

Early-Round Selection
+38.4
#9 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-26.0
#161 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+61.6
#26 of 172
+7.70/draft
Hitter DVOS
+126.6
#12 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
180
#42 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF13116 +97.9
OF1133 +25.6
P2628 +7.8
C34 +3.1

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
199716Lance Berkman1B 55.95.7 +50.2
2004184Ben Zobrist2B 42.70.8 +41.9
200464Hunter PenceOF 29.61.8 +27.8
1998272Morgan Ensberg3B 14.10.5 +13.6
199817Brad LidgeP 11.65.9 +5.7
200067Chad QuallsP 5.51.9 +3.6
1998212John BuckC 5.00.8 +4.2
1997610Tim ReddingP 4.80.1 +4.7
1999203Jason LaneOF 2.40.8 +1.6
1999263Chris SampsonP 2.30.5 +1.8
1998302Keith Ginter2B 2.10.3 +1.8
200186Kirk SaarloosP 1.61.0 +0.6
2004274Troy PattonP 1.30.5 +0.9
200270Mitch TalbotP 1.11.9 -0.8
2000277Eric BruntlettSS 0.80.5 +0.3

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
19974060.6 16.8+43.8
19984132.9 18.0+14.9
1999422.2 14.7-12.5
2000435.8 13.4-7.6
2001493.7 19.7-16.0
2002481.3 13.2-11.9
2003410.6 11.5-10.9
20044973.3 11.6+61.7
Total353 180 +61.6

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.