Rosternomics

โ† all scouting directors

David Lakey

Astros

1997โ€“2004 ยท 8 drafts ยท 353 picks

Early-Round Selection
+37.7
#10 of 172
rds 1โ€“10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-26.3
#161 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+59.6
#26 of 172
+7.45/draft
Hitter DVOS
+126.1
#12 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
180
#42 of 172

Value by position โ€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF13116 +97.7
OF1133 +25.4
P2628 +7.4
C34 +3.0

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking โ€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half โ‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (โ‰ˆ 0) โ€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks โ€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
199716Lance Berkman1B 55.95.8 +50.1
2004184Ben Zobrist2B 42.70.8 +41.9
200464Hunter PenceOF 29.61.8 +27.8
1998272Morgan Ensberg3B 14.10.5 +13.6
199817Brad LidgeP 11.66.0 +5.6
200067Chad QuallsP 5.51.9 +3.6
1998212John BuckC 5.00.8 +4.2
1997610Tim ReddingP 4.80.1 +4.7
1999203Jason LaneOF 2.40.8 +1.6
1999263Chris SampsonP 2.30.5 +1.8
1998302Keith Ginter2B 2.10.3 +1.8
200186Kirk SaarloosP 1.61.1 +0.5
2004274Troy PattonP 1.30.5 +0.8
200270Mitch TalbotP 1.11.9 -0.8
2000277Eric BruntlettSS 0.80.5 +0.3

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
19974060.6 17.1+43.5
19984132.9 18.3+14.6
1999422.2 14.9-12.7
2000435.8 13.7-7.9
2001493.7 19.9-16.3
2002481.3 13.4-12.1
2003410.6 11.7-11.1
20044973.3 11.8+61.5
Total353 180โ€“ +59.6

DVOS = ฮฃ (a pick's career fWAR โˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in โ€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated โ€” one star swamps a class โ€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.