RRosternomics

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David Chadd

Red Sox, Tigers

2002–2010 · 9 drafts · 445 picks

Early-Round Selection
+47.6
#6 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-14.7
#136 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+99.3
#9 of 172
+11.03/draft
Hitter DVOS
+99.3
#25 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
255
#20 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P38124 +73.7
IF1268 +60.2
OF1151 +30.9
C512 +8.2

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
200257Jon LesterP 46.21.8 +44.4
200465Dustin Pedroia2B 44.81.8 +43.0
200727Rick PorcelloP 29.72.2 +27.4
2003114Jonathan PapelbonP 19.31.0 +18.3
2008163Alex AvilaC 16.40.8 +15.5
2005360Matt JoyceOF 16.00.3 +15.7
200510Cameron MaybinOF 14.67.8 +6.8
201044Nick Castellanos3B 13.32.4 +10.9
20066Andrew MillerP 12.012.7 -0.7
201068Drew SmylyP 11.01.9 +9.1
200317David MurphyOF 9.36.0 +3.3
2002238Brandon Moss1B 8.80.5 +8.3
200332Matt MurtonOF 5.12.8 +2.2
2005570Burke BadenhopP 3.30.2 +3.0
2008253Andy DirksOF 3.10.5 +2.6

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20024953.5 12.0+41.4
20035233.2 23.2+10.0
20044946.1 11.7+34.4
20054937.0 18.1+19.0
20065015.5 25.3-9.8
20074532.0 13.6+18.4
20085020.0 16.1+3.9
200950-1.8 19.9-21.7
20105119.6 15.9+3.7
Total445 255 +99.3

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.