Rosternomics

โ† all scouting directors

David Chadd

Red Sox, Tigers

2002โ€“2010 ยท 9 drafts ยท 445 picks

Early-Round Selection
+47.2
#6 of 172
rds 1โ€“10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-14.9
#136 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+98.1
#9 of 172
+10.90/draft
Hitter DVOS
+99.0
#25 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
255
#20 of 172

Value by position โ€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P38124 +73.4
IF1268 +60.0
OF1151 +30.8
C512 +8.2

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking โ€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half โ‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (โ‰ˆ 0) โ€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks โ€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
200257Jon LesterP 46.21.8 +44.4
200465Dustin Pedroia2B 44.81.8 +43.0
200727Rick PorcelloP 29.72.2 +27.4
2003114Jonathan PapelbonP 19.31.0 +18.3
2008163Alex AvilaC 16.40.8 +15.5
2005360Matt JoyceOF 16.00.3 +15.7
200510Cameron MaybinOF 14.67.9 +6.7
201044Nick Castellanos3B 13.22.4 +10.8
20066Andrew MillerP 12.012.8 -0.7
201068Drew SmylyP 11.01.9 +9.1
200317David MurphyOF 9.36.0 +3.2
2002238Brandon Moss1B 8.80.5 +8.3
200332Matt MurtonOF 5.12.9 +2.2
2005570Burke BadenhopP 3.30.2 +3.0
2008253Andy DirksOF 3.10.5 +2.6

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20024953.5 12.1+41.3
20035233.2 23.4+9.8
20044946.1 11.8+34.3
20054937.0 18.2+18.9
20065015.5 25.5-10.0
20074532.0 13.7+18.3
20085020.0 16.3+3.7
200950-1.8 20.0-21.8
20105119.5 16.0+3.5
Total445 255โ€“ +98.1

DVOS = ฮฃ (a pick's career fWAR โˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in โ€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated โ€” one star swamps a class โ€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.