Rosternomics

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Dana Brown

Braves, Nationals

2002–2009, 2019–2022 · 12 drafts · 491 picks

Early-Round Selection
+55.7
#3 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-19.1
#149 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-6.7
#75 of 172
-0.56/draft
Hitter DVOS
+68.9
#38 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
258
#19 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P50139 +42.4
IF1761 +33.7
OF934 +22.8
C623 +12.4

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20054Ryan Zimmerman1B 39.510.3 +29.1
20091Stephen StrasburgP 37.723.4 +14.4
200767Jordan ZimmermannP 26.11.9 +24.2
200484Ian DesmondSS 18.31.0 +17.2
201998Michael Harris IIOF 13.91.0 +12.9
2005174Marco EstradaP 11.70.8 +10.9
2020126Spencer StriderP 11.31.0 +10.3
2009172Michael A. TaylorOF 10.20.8 +9.4
2007130Derek NorrisC 9.91.0 +8.9
2005354Craig StammenP 8.90.3 +8.6
20199Shea LangeliersC 8.97.8 +1.1
200887Danny Espinosa2B 7.91.0 +6.9
2008301Tommy MiloneP 7.20.3 +6.9
2007100Steven Souza Jr.OF 5.61.0 +4.5
202296Drake BaldwinC 5.41.0 +4.3

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2002502.0 22.3-20.3
2003502.0 17.9-15.9
20045018.4 19.8-1.4
20054868.5 19.5+49.1
2006523.6 24.1-20.5
20075343.6 31.4+12.3
20085012.4 19.4-7.0
20095156.2 43.7+12.5
20194122.5 23.8-1.3
2020417.1 7.8+9.3
2021206.9 14.8-7.9
2022224.9 20.5-15.6
Total491 258 -6.7

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.