Rosternomics

โ† all scouting directors

Dana Brown

Braves, Nationals

2002โ€“2009, 2019โ€“2022 ยท 12 drafts ยท 491 picks

Early-Round Selection
+54.8
#3 of 172
rds 1โ€“10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-16.6
#143 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-4.7
#72 of 172
-0.39/draft
Hitter DVOS
+73.5
#35 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
264
#18 of 172

Value by position โ€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF1764 +36.1
P51139 +35.4
OF937 +24.7
C624 +12.7

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking โ€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half โ‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (โ‰ˆ 0) โ€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks โ€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20054Ryan Zimmerman1B 39.510.4 +29.0
20091Stephen StrasburgP 37.723.7 +14.1
200767Jordan ZimmermannP 26.11.9 +24.2
200484Ian DesmondSS 18.31.1 +17.2
201998Michael Harris IIOF 16.01.1 +14.9
2005174Marco EstradaP 11.70.8 +10.9
2020126Spencer StriderP 11.21.0 +10.2
2009172Michael A. TaylorOF 10.20.8 +9.4
2007130Derek NorrisC 9.91.0 +8.9
2005354Craig StammenP 8.90.3 +8.6
20199Shea LangeliersC 8.87.9 +1.0
200887Danny Espinosa2B 7.91.1 +6.9
2008301Tommy MiloneP 7.20.3 +6.9
202296Drake BaldwinC 5.91.1 +4.8
2007100Steven Souza Jr.OF 5.61.1 +4.5

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2002502.0 22.5-20.6
2003502.0 18.2-16.2
20045018.4 20.1-1.8
20054868.5 19.7+48.8
2006523.6 24.5-20.9
20075343.6 31.8+11.9
20085012.4 19.6-7.2
20095156.2 44.2+12.0
20194124.7 24.0+0.7
2020416.6 7.9+8.7
20212010.2 15.0-4.8
2022225.4 20.8-15.4
Total491 264โ€“ -4.7

DVOS = ฮฃ (a pick's career fWAR โˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in โ€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated โ€” one star swamps a class โ€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.